Hagel argues that we could also be making problems for the future.
It argues that resident doctors' pay is 20% lower in real terms than it was in 2008, even after the 2025 increase.
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These debt-funded projects create “indirect but potentially material” exposure to fiscal risk, the analysts wrote. Beyond infrastructure, governments will have to plan for labor disruptions and related social support. The IMF estimates 40% of global jobs—and 60% in advanced economies—are exposed to AI, particularly high-skill roles, potentially eroding payroll taxes while spiking demand for reskilling and safety nets.
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